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Economy10 February 2026

Budget 2026/27 pivots from diamonds to enterprise

Finance Minister Ndaba Gaolathe’s 9 February budget projects a 3.1% rebound after two years of contraction and funds it with higher corporate and personal tax.

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Presenting the 2026/27 budget on 9 February 2026, the Minister of Finance reported that the economy contracted 2.8% in 2024 and a further 0.4% in 2025, mainly because of the diamond downturn, and projected a 3.1% rebound in 2026.

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Real GDP growth (%)-4-3-2-10123-2.82024-0.420253.12026 proj.
Real GDP growth (%). Source: official data cited below. Chart: Batho Analytica.

Total revenue and grants are estimated at P77.22 billion. SACU receipts of P26.79 billion are the largest source, followed by non-mineral income tax at P19.76 billion and VAT at P15.10 billion. The net financial asset position has fallen from about 40% of GDP in 2008 to minus 30.1% in 2024, which the Minister described as the central constraint on the budget.

The tax measures were a 2.5-point increase in the top personal income tax bracket above P400,000, an increase in corporate income tax (enacted at 24.5% in July), a reduction of the zero-rated VAT list, VAT on remote services and electronic invoicing. The Minister also announced a National Fund of Funds for MSMEs to be operational in 2027/28 and full operation of the national e-Procurement system before the end of 2026/27.

Foreign exchange reserves stood at P47.4 billion, about five months of import cover, at December 2025. Inflation was 3.9% and the policy rate 3.5% at the time of the speech; both have since risen sharply.

What this means for you

  • The P77.22 billion revenue target assumes the tax increases are collected; expect firmer BURS enforcement.
  • Suppliers to government should register on the e-Procurement system as it rolls out.
  • MSMEs should prepare financial statements now to be ready for the Fund of Funds in 2027/28.

If any of these points apply to your organisation, talk to us. We will tell you what needs to change and what it will take.

Official sources
Parliament of Botswana: 2026 Budget Speech
Ministry of Finance
Published 10 February 2026. This article is general information, not advice for a specific situation.